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I'm bullish on NVDA. AI demand will drive 40% growth this quarter.
2:34 PM
NVDA's P/E ratio is 65x vs sector average of 28x. Current valuation assumes perfect execution. Have you considered the risk of China export restrictions affecting 20% of revenue?
2:34 PM
But their data center revenue grew 200% last quarter...
2:35 PM
True, but that growth rate is decelerating. Q2 was 171%, Q1 was 427%. Hyperscalers are also developing in-house chips. Meta's training chip could reduce NVDA dependency by 15-20%.
2:35 PM
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"I'm bullish on AMZN because AWS will drive 30% revenue growth this quarter"
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AMZN Deep Dive
Current: 12% YoY vs your assumption of 30%. Microsoft Azure growing at 27%.
AWS losing share to GOOGL Cloud (32% growth) and MSFT.
Enterprise contracts and switching costs remain high.
TSLA Valuation
Based on 35% delivery growth assumption
If delivery growth drops to 15% (industry average)
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